Equilibria, Stability and Logistic Growth

Use a phase line to predict long-term behavior and solve a saturation model.

Builds on Bernoulli Equations and Substitutions

The bigger question: Which structure makes a first-order equation solvable?

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The idea

For an autonomous equation y′=f(y)y'=f(y), equilibrium values satisfy f(y∗)=0f(y_*)=0. The sign of ff between its zeros determines whether solutions rise or fall. Nearby arrows toward an equilibrium indicate attraction; arrows away indicate instability.

Visual guide

VISUAL GUIDEPositive logistic solutions approach carrying capacity
For r = 1 and K = 10, solutions below capacity rise while those above fall. The curves begin at 2 and 15. Both approach 10; their slope is determined by current population, not just elapsed time.001.54.2538.54.512.8617tpopulation
  • Start at 2
  • Start at 15
  • Carrying capacity K = 10
For r = 1 and K = 10, solutions below capacity rise while those above fall. The curves begin at 2 and 15. Both approach 10; their slope is determined by current population, not just elapsed time.

Method and assumptions

For a differentiable ff, f′(y∗)<0f'(y_*)<0 gives local asymptotic stability and f′(y∗)>0f'(y_*)>0 gives instability. If the derivative is zero, inspect signs directly. Logistic growth is y′=ry(1−y/K)y'=ry(1-y/K) with r,K>0r,K>0. For positive initial data, y=K/(1+Ae−rt)y=K/(1+A e^{-rt}), where A=(K−y0)/y0A=(K-y_0)/y_0.

Worked example: below capacity

With r=1,K=10,y0=2r=1,K=10,y_0=2, A=4A=4 and y=10/(1+4e−t)y=10/(1+4e^{-t}). The solution increases toward 1010. At y=5y=5, the growth rate is maximal: ry(1−y/K)=2.5ry(1-y/K)=2.5.

PAUSE & THINKA quick check, not a grade

Try it yourself.

Choose an answer and explain your reasoning to yourself. Use a hint if you get stuck.

For y′=y(1−y), arrows near y=1 point upward below it and downward above it. What is y=1?

Hint 1 · Find a starting point

Both nearby directions move toward the same level.

Hint 2 · Take the next step

Check that the right-hand side vanishes at y=1.

Show the reasoning

Answer: An attracting equilibrium

The equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable: nearby positive solutions approach 1.

Before moving on: what would make one of the other answers wrong? Saying why is part of understanding.

Worked example: a degenerate equilibrium

For y′=y2y'=y^2, the only equilibrium is zero and f′(0)=0f'(0)=0. Solutions below zero rise toward it, while those above zero rise away and blow up. Zero is semistable, not asymptotically stable from both sides.

Interpreting the result

Carrying capacity is a modeling assumption, not a universal population law. Negative populations are mathematically possible in some equations but usually outside the model’s intended domain.

Practice

  1. Classify equilibria for y′=y(1−y)y'=y(1-y).
  2. What happens for positive logistic initial data above KK?
  3. Where is logistic growth fastest?
Show worked solutions
  1. 00 is unstable and 11 is asymptotically stable because derivatives are 11 and −1-1.
  2. The derivative is negative, so the solution decreases toward KK.
  3. At y=K/2y=K/2, with rate rK/4rK/4.

Further study

MIT OpenCourseWare: Differential Equations provides a full university course with additional lectures and exercises.

MAKE IT YOURS

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